The professions trying to get ahead are those who most likely lose their jobs will find ST Louis Fed
The industry that raced for artificial intelligence can harvest rewards for their gambling, but their employees may also pay the price.
According to Study St. Last Fed last week, the US “may witness the early phases of displacement of a job -controlled and” job with dear towards the industry that have accepted the most accepted technology.
Research. Published on August 26 tried to find out where it contributes to increasing unemployment. This comes after the unwelcome surprise in the labor market at the beginning of last month, when the statistics of the Labor was immensely revised by its data: the May sum was reduced from 1444,000 to 19,000 and the total number of June was reduced from 147,000 to only 14,000, leading to a combined loss of 258,000.
The weaker picture of the economy raises a number of questions: Does hiring slow down because of concerns about Trump’s plan? Does the employment market slow down due to uncertainty wider? But is there a factor that fundamentally transforms the labor market?
We also heard many, many warnings about jobs displaced for AI. Is there a possibility that it controls the underlying vibration?
“According to a nationally representative survey in real time (RPS), 23% of employed workers used generative AI to work at least once a week since the end of 2024, which they converted for such an emerging technology,” wrote Serdar Ozkan of St. Louis Fed (Fred) Serdar Ozkan and Nicholas Sullivan. “Despite this widespread integration, we still know surprisingly little about employment and, because the novelty of this technology.”
What Fred can graph is to change the percentage point of unemployment between 2022 and 2025 in some industries and its correlation with an exhibition in each industry.
The research has shown a correlation coefficient of 0.57, which means in general that the profession that has accepted the most demanding AI has shown great unemployment. These industries included at the extreme end of the computer and mathematics. In these professions, AI adoption was under 80%, while unemployment has changed by 1.2%over the past three years.
The race, if you have checked in a technical job in the last three years, AI has no one story in the city. Great technology was particularly criticized for breaking during the pandemic, which in the coming years promoted a wave of layoffs.
For example, Paypal’s head head Keith Rabois said in 2023 that the axes of many roles were delayed: “All these people were strange, that is true for a long time, the Mary’s hiring metric was in some ways … There is nothing for these people who could do.
Similarly technical specialists – especially those in the AI - said Luck They were paid six -digit amounts to be “written” by some companies to stop opponents who hire the highest talent. Yet by hiring these individuals without real work that could be done, often employed and 10 minutes task a day before using working hours as leisure time.
Big Tech also did not try to hide the repair. In 2023, Mark Zuckerberg launched his “year of effect”, which after years of two -digit growth reduced the number of employees by 22%, while Alphabet Sundar Pichai added in 2024 that Google would “remove layers to simplify speed management”.
Horsepower
At the other end of the spectrum, industrial industries with lower AI adoption are recorded by a relatively unchanged employment level. For example, the personal service industry had the lowest level of adoption in the survey and had an unchanged employment rate.
Similarly, the sectors of legal and social services have had approximately 18% and negative unemployment rate over the last three years.
There is also evidence that suggests that AI can be disturbing for a career as a person joined the labor market. For example, an orientation study led by Professor Stanford Erik Brynjolfsson found out last month that staff at the basic level of occupations that are most exposed to 13% of the relative decline in employment.
Deutsche Bank, Referencing Brynjolfsson’s Study, Naked to Customers This Morning: “It’s One of the First High-Proteal to Identify the Effects of Ai Potentialy Showing UP in Labor Market Data. EMPLOMENT FOR WORKERS Aged 22 To 25 in the Occupations That Can Most Be Increased by AI- SUCH AS SOFTWARE ENGINEERING AND CUSTOMER Services
“On the other hand, employment increased by 6% to 9% for more experienced workers in the same professions, found a study cited by wage data.”
Goldman Sachs also recorded a change in hiring for artificial intelligence in a research note on Monday – but not for displacement. The Goldman Sachs Index for August found that 58% of the analysts responded said they were hired by companies that cover approximately the same pace as at the beginning of the 2025-butter-related AI related positions. The company has stopped or gripped the number of employees for roles related to AI.
(Tagstotranslate) artificial intelligence